Game Information
| Week | Week 9 |
| Date | Friday, October 30, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | WVIR | -2.5 | 47.5 | -132 |
| 106 | USF | +2.5 | +120 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| W Virginia | Power Ratings | W Virginia 52% odds to win | |
| W Virginia | Similar Games | W Virginia 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF +3.0 | Power Ratings | S Florida loses by 0.6 | |
| WVIR -3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | W Virginia 54% odds to cover | |
| USF +3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | S Florida loses by 2.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 47.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go under 47.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF +134 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model | |
| USF +134 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | WVIR | adv | USF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 25.6 | 22.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.377 | 0.345 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.8 | -0.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 370.7 | 349.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.172% | 49.492% | |
| SOS PR | 31.5 | 28.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | WVIR | adv | USF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 21.8 | 22.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.313 | 0.333 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 339.6 | 344.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 42.0 | 56.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | WVIR | adv | USF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 5-2 | 3-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 6-0 | 2-2 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | WVIR | adv | USF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||