Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Saturday, October 10, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Liberty Bowl, Memphis, TN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 389 | UTEP | -1.5 | 58.0 | -116 |
| 390 | MEM | +1.5 | +105 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TX El Paso | Power Ratings | TX El Paso 84% odds to win | |
| TX El Paso | Similar Games | TX El Paso 60% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP -1.5 | Power Ratings | TX El Paso wins by 14.5 | |
| MEM +1.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Memphis 56% odds to cover | |
| UTEP -1.5 | Similar Games - Pts | TX El Paso wins by 1.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 58.0 | Similar Games | 50% odds to go over 58.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP -119 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 30% different from model | |
| UTEP -119 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UTEP | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.8 | 20.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.424 | 0.281 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.7 | -16.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 425.4 | 365.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.560% | 47.083% | |
| SOS PR | 18.1 | 24.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UTEP | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 33.5 | 36.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.449 | 0.505 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 446.3 | 462.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.0 | 6.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | -0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 68.7 | 55.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UTEP | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 2-10 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 1-7 | |
| Streak | W1 | L6 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 0-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UTEP | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 2-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||