Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Saturday, November 28, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, HI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195 | NAVY | -8.5 | 55.5 | -315 |
| 196 | HAW | +8.5 | +277 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | Power Ratings | Navy 77% odds to win | |
| Navy | Similar Games | Navy 71% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY -8.5 | Power Ratings | Navy wins by 10.1 | |
| HAW +8.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Hawaii 60% odds to cover | |
| HAW +8.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Hawaii loses by 7.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 55.5 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 55.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY -315 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| HAW +277 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NAVY | adv | HAW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.5 | 22.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.399 | 0.326 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.9 | -7.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 358.8 | 439.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.2 | 6.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 57.863% | 48.640% | |
| SOS PR | 23.8 | 20.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NAVY | adv | HAW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 19.5 | 30.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.316 | 0.443 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 332.5 | 415.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 6.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.6 | -0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 30.8 | 53.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NAVY | adv | HAW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 3-0 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 5-3 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NAVY | adv | HAW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-2-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-4-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||