Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Saturday, November 28, 2009 |
| Time | 3:00 PM |
| Location | Indian Stadium, Jonesboro, AR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | NTEX | +7.0 | 55.5 | +239 |
| 202 | ARST | -7.0 | -269 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas St | Power Ratings | Arkansas St 68% odds to win | |
| Arkansas St | Similar Games | Arkansas St 80% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NTEX +7.0 | Power Ratings | North Texas loses by 6.0 | |
| ARST -7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Arkansas St 61% odds to cover | |
| ARST -7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Arkansas St wins by 12.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 55.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 55.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NTEX +252 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
| ARST -285 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NTEX | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.6 | 19.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.378 | 0.293 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.0 | -6.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 408.8 | 314.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.285% | 49.464% | |
| SOS PR | 12.2 | 13.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NTEX | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 35.6 | 25.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.500 | 0.370 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 412.4 | 366.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -1.2 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 57.9 | 60.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NTEX | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-10 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 0-7 | 2-5 | |
| Streak | L4 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 1-5 | 2-2 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 1-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NTEX | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 2-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-5-0 | 1-6-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L6 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 1-6-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||