Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Saturday, October 10, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Cajun Field, Lafayette, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 399 | NTEX | +4.5 | 53.0 | +171 |
| 400 | ULLA | -4.5 | -190 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Lafayette | Power Ratings | LA Lafayette 72% odds to win | |
| LA Lafayette | Similar Games | LA Lafayette 51% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULLA -4.5 | Power Ratings | LA Lafayette wins by 7.9 | |
| NTEX +4.5 | Similar Games - Odds | North Texas 62% odds to cover | |
| NTEX +4.5 | Similar Games - Pts | North Texas loses by 1.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 53.0 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go over 53.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULLA -200 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| NTEX +180 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 14% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NTEX | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.6 | 20.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.378 | 0.275 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.0 | -11.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 408.8 | 345.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 4.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.285% | 50.831% | |
| SOS PR | 12.2 | 15.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NTEX | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 35.6 | 31.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.500 | 0.456 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 412.4 | 406.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -1.2 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 57.9 | 51.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NTEX | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-10 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 0-7 | 3-4 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 1-5 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NTEX | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-5-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||