Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Faurot Field, Columbia, MO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 357 | TEX | -12.5 | 51.0 | -470 |
| 358 | MIZZ | +12.5 | +400 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | Power Ratings | Texas 90% odds to win | |
| Texas | Similar Games | Texas 84% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX -12.5 | Power Ratings | Texas wins by 19.7 | |
| MIZZ +12.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Missouri 55% odds to cover | |
| MIZZ +12.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Missouri loses by 11.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 50.0 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go under 50.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX -450 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 8% different from model | |
| TEX -450 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TEX | adv | MIZZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 40.7 | 27.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.522 | 0.379 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +25.5 | +0.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 432.3 | 403.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.471% | 46.660% | |
| SOS PR | 36.9 | 25.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TEX | adv | MIZZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 15.2 | 26.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.221 | 0.356 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 251.1 | 367.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 3.7 | 4.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.7 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.9 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 59.2 | 53.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TEX | adv | MIZZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-0 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 9-0 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 6-0 | 2-3 | |
| Away | 7-1 | 5-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TEX | adv | MIZZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-8-1 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-1 | 2-6-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-1 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||