Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 325 | UCF | +10.0 | 43.5 | +314 |
| 326 | ECAR | -10.0 | -360 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| E Carolina | Power Ratings | E Carolina 73% odds to win | |
| E Carolina | Similar Games | E Carolina 61% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF +10.0 | Power Ratings | Central FL loses by 8.4 | |
| UCF +10.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Central FL 55% odds to cover | |
| UCF +10.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Central FL loses by 8.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.5 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go over 43.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF +326 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| UCF +326 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 16% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UCF | adv | ECAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.0 | 26.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.378 | 0.390 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.6 | +5.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 345.8 | 373.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.736% | 52.444% | |
| SOS PR | 24.2 | 29.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UCF | adv | ECAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.4 | 21.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.319 | 0.302 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 358.0 | 388.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.3 | 2.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.8 | +0.9 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 36.2 | 56.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UCF | adv | ECAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 9-4 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 8-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UCF | adv | ECAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-1-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-1-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||