Game Information
| Week | Week 2 |
| Date | Saturday, September 12, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363 | UCF | +16.5 | 48.0 | +604 |
| 364 | USM | -16.5 | -750 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| S Mississippi | Power Ratings | S Mississippi -- odds to win | |
| S Mississippi | Similar Games | S Mississippi -- odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF +15.0 | Power Ratings | Central FL wins by -- | |
| USM -15.0 | Similar Games - Odds | S Mississippi -- odds to cover | |
| UCF +15.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Central FL wins by -- |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 | Similar Games | -- odds to go over 49.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF +604 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is -- different from model | |
| UCF +604 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is -- different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UCF | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.0 | 31.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.378 | 0.452 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.6 | +3.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 345.8 | 401.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.736% | 47.578% | |
| SOS PR | 24.2 | 23.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UCF | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.4 | 28.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.319 | 0.362 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 358.0 | 410.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.3 | 2.0 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.8 | +0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 36.2 | 67.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UCF | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 5-0 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 1-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UCF | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-1-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-1-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||