Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Saturday, November 28, 2009 |
| Time | 1:30 PM |
| Location | Legion Field, Birmingham, AL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157 | UCF | -3.0 | 52.5 | -154 |
| 158 | UAB | +3.0 | +139 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central FL | Power Ratings | Central FL 64% odds to win | |
| Central FL | Similar Games | Central FL 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF -3.0 | Power Ratings | Central FL wins by 4.4 | |
| UCF -3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Central FL 54% odds to cover | |
| UCF -3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Central FL wins by 3.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.5 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go over 52.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF -151 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
| UCF -151 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UCF | adv | UAB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.0 | 27.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.378 | 0.430 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.6 | -4.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 345.8 | 425.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 6.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.736% | 48.593% | |
| SOS PR | 24.2 | 22.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UCF | adv | UAB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.4 | 32.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.319 | 0.443 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 358.0 | 453.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 6.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.3 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.8 | +0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 36.2 | 68.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UCF | adv | UAB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 2-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UCF | adv | UAB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-1-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-1-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||