Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Saturday, October 10, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323 | CONN | +6.5 | 47.0 | +222 |
| 324 | PITT | -6.5 | -250 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh 73% odds to win | |
| Pittsburgh | Similar Games | Pittsburgh 74% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT -7.0 | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh wins by 8.0 | |
| PITT -7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Pittsburgh 50% odds to cover | |
| PITT -7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Pittsburgh wins by 10.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 47.5 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go over 47.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT -260 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 0% different from model | |
| PITT -260 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CONN | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.4 | 31.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.416 | 0.489 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.7 | +10.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 378.8 | 391.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.970% | 52.115% | |
| SOS PR | 30.0 | 31.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CONN | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.8 | 21.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.355 | 0.309 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 387.2 | 332.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 4.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 30.4 | 50.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CONN | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4 | 5-2 | |
| Streak | W4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 4-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CONN | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-2-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-2-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 7-0-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||