Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Mountaineer Field, Morgantown, WV |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 327 | CONN | +8.5 | 47.0 | +301 |
| 328 | WVIR | -8.5 | -345 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| W Virginia | Power Ratings | W Virginia 66% odds to win | |
| W Virginia | Similar Games | W Virginia 67% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONN +7.5 | Power Ratings | Connecticut loses by 5.2 | |
| CONN +7.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Connecticut 56% odds to cover | |
| CONN +7.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Connecticut loses by 7.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 46.5 | Similar Games | 62% odds to go under 46.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONN +253 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| CONN +253 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CONN | adv | WVIR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.4 | 25.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.416 | 0.377 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.7 | +3.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 378.8 | 370.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.970% | 50.172% | |
| SOS PR | 30.0 | 31.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CONN | adv | WVIR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.8 | 21.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.355 | 0.313 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 387.2 | 339.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 4.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 30.4 | 42.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CONN | adv | WVIR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4 | 5-2 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 6-0 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CONN | adv | WVIR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-2-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-2-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 7-0-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||