Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 2:30 PM |
| Location | Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, IN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 349 | CONN | +6.0 | 57.5 | +218 |
| 350 | NDAM | -6.0 | -245 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | Power Ratings | Connecticut 55% odds to win | |
| Notre Dame | Similar Games | Notre Dame 62% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONN +6.0 | Power Ratings | Connecticut wins by 1.5 | |
| NDAM -6.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Notre Dame 56% odds to cover | |
| CONN +6.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Connecticut loses by 5.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 59.5 | Similar Games | 63% odds to go over 59.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONN +222 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 24% different from model | |
| CONN +222 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CONN | adv | NDAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.4 | 30.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.416 | 0.414 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.7 | +4.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 378.8 | 451.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 6.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.970% | 52.982% | |
| SOS PR | 30.0 | 28.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CONN | adv | NDAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.8 | 25.9 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.355 | 0.393 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 387.2 | 397.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 6.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 30.4 | 55.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CONN | adv | NDAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4 | 0-1 | |
| Streak | W4 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 4-3 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 2-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CONN | adv | NDAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-2-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-2-0 | 0-1-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| Away | 7-0-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||