Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Friday, November 27, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, MI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | NILL | +13.5 | 52.5 | +408 |
| 134 | CMCH | -13.5 | -480 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Mich | Power Ratings | Central Mich 83% odds to win | |
| Central Mich | Similar Games | Central Mich 78% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMCH -13.0 | Power Ratings | Central Mich wins by 13.6 | |
| CMCH -13.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Central Mich 55% odds to cover | |
| CMCH -13.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Central Mich wins by 14.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 50.5 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 50.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| NILL +412 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NILL | adv | CMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.6 | 32.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.436 | 0.452 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.8 | +12.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 341.0 | 431.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.468% | 50.474% | |
| SOS PR | 17.1 | 20.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NILL | adv | CMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.8 | 20.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.357 | 0.292 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 338.8 | 360.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.5 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 47.3 | 51.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NILL | adv | CMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 11-2 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 9-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 4-0 | |
| Away | 2-5 | 7-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NILL | adv | CMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 9-3-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-1-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 4-0-0 | |
| Away | 2-5-0 | 5-3-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||