Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Saturday, September 19, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Ross Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | NILL | +11.5 | 52.0 | +385 |
| 108 | PURD | -11.5 | -450 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue | Power Ratings | Purdue -- odds to win | |
| Purdue | Similar Games | Purdue -- odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PURD -11.5 | Power Ratings | Purdue wins by -- | |
| NILL +11.5 | Similar Games - Odds | N Illinois -- odds to cover | |
| PURD -11.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Purdue wins by -- |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 53.5 | Similar Games | -- odds to go over 53.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PURD -450 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is -- different from model | |
| NILL +385 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is -- different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NILL | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.6 | 27.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.436 | 0.388 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.8 | -1.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 341.0 | 391.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.468% | 49.250% | |
| SOS PR | 17.1 | 26.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NILL | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.8 | 29.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.357 | 0.399 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 338.8 | 376.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 2.0 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.5 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 47.3 | 41.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NILL | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 3-4 | |
| Away | 2-5 | 2-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NILL | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 6-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 3-4-1 | |
| Streak | L4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 3-3-1 | |
| Away | 2-5-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||