Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Saturday, September 19, 2009 |
| Time | 5:00 PM |
| Location | Floyd Casey Stadium, Waco, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | CONN | +10.5 | 45.0 | +330 |
| 168 | BAY | -10.5 | -380 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | Power Ratings | Baylor -- odds to win | |
| Baylor | Similar Games | Baylor -- odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONN +10.5 | Power Ratings | Connecticut wins by -- | |
| CONN +10.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Connecticut -- odds to cover | |
| CONN +10.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Connecticut wins by -- |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 45.0 | Similar Games | -- odds to go under 45.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONN +330 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is -- different from model | |
| CONN +330 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is -- different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CONN | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.4 | 16.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.416 | 0.241 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.7 | -12.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 378.8 | 322.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 4.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.970% | 46.631% | |
| SOS PR | 30.0 | 30.3 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CONN | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.8 | 28.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.355 | 0.371 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 387.2 | 419.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 30.4 | 67.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CONN | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4 | 1-7 | |
| Streak | W4 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CONN | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-2-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-2-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 7-0-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||