Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, OH |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313 | CONN | +15.5 | 51.0 | +527 |
| 314 | CIN | -15.5 | -640 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | Power Ratings | Cincinnati 89% odds to win | |
| Cincinnati | Similar Games | Cincinnati 76% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN -16.0 | Power Ratings | Cincinnati wins by 18.6 | |
| CONN +16.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Connecticut 59% odds to cover | |
| CONN +16.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Connecticut loses by 13.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.5 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go over 51.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN -650 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| CONN +534 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CONN | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.4 | 36.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.416 | 0.561 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.7 | +11.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 378.8 | 436.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 6.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.970% | 42.311% | |
| SOS PR | 30.0 | 34.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CONN | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.8 | 24.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.355 | 0.326 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 387.2 | 390.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 30.4 | 45.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CONN | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 12-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4 | 7-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 5-0 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 6-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CONN | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-2-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-2-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 7-0-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||