Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Saturday, October 10, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | Falcon Stadium, Colorado Springs, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 379 | TCU | -10.0 | 42.5 | -370 |
| 380 | AFA | +10.0 | +322 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TX Christian | Power Ratings | TX Christian 82% odds to win | |
| TX Christian | Similar Games | TX Christian 77% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU -10.0 | Power Ratings | TX Christian wins by 13.1 | |
| AFA +10.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Air Force 52% odds to cover | |
| TCU -10.0 | Similar Games - Pts | TX Christian wins by 11.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 43.0 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go under 43.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU -350 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TCU | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 36.8 | 26.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.513 | 0.348 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +24.8 | +9.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 452.4 | 354.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.3 | 4.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.111% | 54.806% | |
| SOS PR | 35.5 | 28.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TCU | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 12.1 | 17.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.189 | 0.269 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 238.9 | 299.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 3.7 | 4.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 2.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +1.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 54.4 | 44.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TCU | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-0 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 8-0 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 5-0 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 6-1 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TCU | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||