Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Ryan Field, Evanston, IL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 | IND | +4.5 | 52.5 | +175 |
| 322 | NWST | -4.5 | -195 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestrn | Power Ratings | Northwestrn 55% odds to win | |
| Northwestrn | Similar Games | Northwestrn 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +5.0 | Power Ratings | Indiana loses by 1.4 | |
| NWST -5.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Northwestrn 51% odds to cover | |
| NWST -5.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Northwestrn wins by 6.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53.5 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go under 53.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +180 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 9% different from model | |
| IND +180 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.9 | 24.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.348 | 0.293 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -7.1 | -1.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 361.9 | 397.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.642% | 51.861% | |
| SOS PR | 28.2 | 30.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.0 | 25.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.427 | 0.374 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 403.1 | 362.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.5 | 2.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.8 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 50.5 | 44.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 4-2 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-4-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||