Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Saturday, October 10, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 | IND | +7.0 | 47.5 | +239 |
| 320 | UVA | -7.0 | -270 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | Power Ratings | Virginia 79% odds to win | |
| Virginia | Similar Games | Virginia 70% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVA -7.0 | Power Ratings | Virginia wins by 11.2 | |
| UVA -7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Virginia 54% odds to cover | |
| UVA -7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Virginia wins by 9.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 47.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 47.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVA -260 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| IND +231 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.9 | 19.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.348 | 0.295 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -7.1 | -6.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 361.9 | 269.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 4.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.642% | 45.803% | |
| SOS PR | 28.2 | 30.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.0 | 26.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.427 | 0.366 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 403.1 | 362.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.5 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.8 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 50.5 | 53.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 2-6 | |
| Streak | L5 | L6 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 1-5 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 2-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-4-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||