Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 379 | IOWA | +9.5 | 40.5 | +338 |
| 380 | PSU | -9.5 | -390 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | Power Ratings | Iowa 85% odds to win | |
| Penn State | Similar Games | Penn State 65% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA +9.5 | Power Ratings | Iowa wins by 15.2 | |
| IOWA +9.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Iowa 53% odds to cover | |
| IOWA +9.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Iowa loses by 3.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 40.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 40.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA +314 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 61% different from model | |
| IOWA +314 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IOWA | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.7 | 26.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.352 | 0.395 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +8.3 | +13.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 336.9 | 394.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.033% | 55.149% | |
| SOS PR | 33.1 | 32.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IOWA | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 15.3 | 13.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.229 | 0.200 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 270.1 | 280.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.0 | 4.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.4 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 36.0 | 32.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IOWA | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-2 | 10-2 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | W2 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 5-2 | |
| Away | 5-1 | 5-0 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IOWA | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 1-6-0 | |
| Away | 6-0-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||