Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 377 | TULA | +20.5 | 52.0 | +795 |
| 378 | USM | -20.5 | -1050 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| S Mississippi | Power Ratings | S Mississippi 92% odds to win | |
| S Mississippi | Similar Games | S Mississippi 89% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| USM -20.5 | Power Ratings | S Mississippi wins by 22.0 | |
| TULA +20.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Tulane 51% odds to cover | |
| TULA +20.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Tulane loses by 18.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 51.5 | Similar Games | 50% odds to go under 51.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| USM -1100 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TULA | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 13.7 | 31.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.203 | 0.452 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -23.4 | +3.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 301.5 | 401.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.5 | 5.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.905% | 47.578% | |
| SOS PR | 22.1 | 23.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TULA | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 37.1 | 28.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.548 | 0.362 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 418.3 | 410.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.2 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 0.7 | 2.0 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -1.5 | +0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 39.6 | 67.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TULA | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-9 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L3 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 5-0 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 1-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TULA | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-8-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||