Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Indian Stadium, Jonesboro, AR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 | FIU | +11.5 | 58.0 | +346 |
| 406 | ARST | -11.5 | -400 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas St | Power Ratings | Arkansas St 80% odds to win | |
| Arkansas St | Similar Games | Arkansas St 86% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARST -11.5 | Power Ratings | Arkansas St wins by 12.1 | |
| ARST -11.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Arkansas St 57% odds to cover | |
| ARST -11.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Arkansas St wins by 12.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 58.5 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go under 58.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| ARST -420 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | FIU | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.9 | 19.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.309 | 0.293 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -12.4 | -6.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 321.7 | 314.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.3 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 44.386% | 49.464% | |
| SOS PR | 14.7 | 13.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | FIU | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 35.3 | 25.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.462 | 0.370 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 491.6 | 366.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.4 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.3 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 62.8 | 60.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | FIU | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-9 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 2-5 | 2-5 | |
| Streak | L2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 2-2 | |
| Away | 1-6 | 1-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | FIU | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 2-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-6-0 | 1-6-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L6 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 1-6-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||