Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Ryan Field, Evanston, IL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 | MINN | +1.0 | 50.0 | -102 |
| 310 | NWST | -1.0 | -108 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | Power Ratings | Minnesota 71% odds to win | |
| Minnesota | Similar Games | Minnesota 51% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN -1.0 | Power Ratings | Minnesota wins by 7.2 | |
| NWST +1.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Northwestrn 54% odds to cover | |
| NWST +1.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Northwestrn wins by 0.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 49.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN -102 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 20% different from model | |
| MINN -102 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MINN | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 21.3 | 24.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.328 | 0.293 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.3 | -1.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 312.8 | 397.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.240% | 51.861% | |
| SOS PR | 28.2 | 30.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MINN | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.7 | 25.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.341 | 0.374 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 380.8 | 362.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.0 | 2.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 52.7 | 44.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MINN | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 4-2 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MINN | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||