Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323 | MINN | +12.5 | 42.5 | +404 |
| 324 | IOWA | -12.5 | -475 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | Power Ratings | Iowa 73% odds to win | |
| Iowa | Similar Games | Iowa 74% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN +11.0 | Power Ratings | Minnesota loses by 8.5 | |
| MINN +11.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Minnesota 56% odds to cover | |
| MINN +11.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Minnesota loses by 8.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.5 | Similar Games | 59% odds to go over 43.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN +322 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| MINN +322 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MINN | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 21.3 | 23.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.328 | 0.352 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.3 | +8.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 312.8 | 336.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.240% | 52.033% | |
| SOS PR | 28.2 | 33.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MINN | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.7 | 15.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.341 | 0.229 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 380.8 | 270.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 4.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.0 | 2.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 52.7 | 36.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MINN | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6 | 10-2 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | L3 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 5-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MINN | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 6-0-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||