Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Saturday, October 3, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Floyd Casey Stadium, Waco, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171 | KNST | +22.5 | 48.0 | +975 |
| 172 | BAY | -22.5 | -1400 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | Power Ratings | Baylor 98% odds to win | |
| Baylor | Similar Games | Baylor 93% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY -24.0 | Power Ratings | Baylor wins by 29.9 | |
| BAY -24.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Baylor 61% odds to cover | |
| BAY -24.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Baylor wins by 25.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 48.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY -2100 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | KNST | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.4 | 16.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.293 | 0.241 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -5.1 | -12.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 326.3 | 322.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.9 | 4.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 41.201% | 46.631% | |
| SOS PR | 13.6 | 30.3 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | KNST | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.5 | 28.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.326 | 0.371 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 371.5 | 419.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.2 | 1.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | -0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 54.8 | 67.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | KNST | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 1-7 | |
| Streak | L3 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | KNST | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-4-1 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-2-1 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-1-1 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||