Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Saturday, November 28, 2009 |
| Time | 1:30 PM |
| Location | Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | USM | +6.5 | 54.5 | +220 |
| 156 | ECAR | -6.5 | -247 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| E Carolina | Power Ratings | E Carolina 70% odds to win | |
| E Carolina | Similar Games | E Carolina 73% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ECAR -6.5 | Power Ratings | E Carolina wins by 6.8 | |
| ECAR -6.5 | Similar Games - Odds | E Carolina 54% odds to cover | |
| ECAR -6.5 | Similar Games - Pts | E Carolina wins by 8.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 54.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go under 54.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| ECAR -247 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | USM | adv | ECAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 31.3 | 26.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.452 | 0.390 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.3 | +5.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 401.1 | 373.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.578% | 52.444% | |
| SOS PR | 23.6 | 29.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | USM | adv | ECAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.0 | 21.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.362 | 0.302 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 410.9 | 388.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.0 | 2.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.7 | +0.9 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 67.4 | 56.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | USM | adv | ECAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 9-4 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 8-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 5-0 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 1-6 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | USM | adv | ECAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||