IMPORTANT: Due to prediction logic refinements we are making, Week 5 college football predictions are likely to change by mid-week.

S Mississippi at Navy

  Saturday Oct 8, 2011 - 3:30 pm - Annapolis, MD | Odds: Navy by 1, Total Points: 58.5 | Team Pages: USM | NAVY

Scoring & Yardage

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat USM adv NAVY USM adv NAVY USM adv NAVY
Avg Score Margin -29.3 -0.8 -29.3 +4.7 -44.5 -7.0
Points/Game 11.0 26.8 11.0 30.0 6.0 24.0
Opp Points/Game 40.3 27.5 40.3 25.3 50.5 31.0
First Downs/Game 14.7 21.5 14.7 21.3 14.0 20.0
Yards/Game 291.7 444.5 291.7 462.7 273.0 402.0
Opp Yards/Game 517.3 423.2 517.3 424.3 548.5 435.0

Offensive Efficiency

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat USM adv NAVY USM adv NAVY USM adv NAVY
Plays/Game 65.7 68.8 65.7 68.7 67.0 69.0
Rush Play % 38.58% 82.18% 38.58% 79.13% 38.06% 62.32%
Pass Play % 61.42% 17.82% 61.42% 20.87% 61.94% 37.68%
Yards/Play 4.4 6.5 4.4 6.7 4.1 5.8
Yards/Rush 2.5 6.1 2.5 6.2 2.5 4.0
Yards/Pass 6.0 9.7 6.0 10.2 5.3 10.5
Points/Play 0.168 0.389 0.168 0.437 0.090 0.348
3D Conversion % 21.43% 52.08% 21.43% 58.33% 22.58% 50.00%
RZ Scoring % 71.43% 73.68% 71.43% 73.33% 75.00% 80.00%

Defensive Efficiency

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat USM adv NAVY USM adv NAVY USM adv NAVY
Opp Plays/Game 81.3 72.5 81.3 78.0 77.5 70.0
Opp Rush Play % 57.38% 60.00% 57.38% 57.27% 60.00% 80.00%
Opp Pass Play % 42.62% 40.00% 42.62% 42.73% 40.00% 20.00%
Opp Yards/Play 6.4 5.8 6.4 5.4 7.1 6.2
Opp Yards/Rush 5.2 4.9 5.2 4.9 5.7 5.1
Opp Yards/Pass 8.4 7.4 8.4 6.2 9.7 10.8
Opp Points/Play 0.496 0.379 0.496 0.325 0.652 0.443
Opp 3D Conv % 52.38% 38.18% 52.38% 40.43% 53.85% 57.14%
Opp RZ Scoring % 68.75% 81.25% 68.75% 83.33% 72.73% 100.00%

Turnovers, Penalties & TOP

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat USM adv NAVY USM adv NAVY USM adv NAVY
TO Margin/Game +0.3 -0.2 +0.3 -0.3 -- --
Opp Int Thrown % 3.06% 2.61% 3.06% 2.00% 1.72% --
Fumble Rec % 77.78% 45.45% 77.78% 44.44% 75.00% 60.00%
Penalties/Game 7.0 2.8 7.0 2.7 6.0 3.0
Opp Penalties/Game 5.7 5.2 5.7 6.3 3.0 2.0
TOP % (net OT) 45.19% 52.05% 45.19% 51.38% 47.65% 40.17%