Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Memorial Stadium, Lawrence, KS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 339 | USM | +11.5 | 58.0 | +346 |
| 340 | KANS | -11.5 | -400 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas | Power Ratings | Kansas 94% odds to win | |
| Kansas | Similar Games | Kansas 73% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| KANS -12.5 | Power Ratings | Kansas wins by 24.4 | |
| USM +12.5 | Similar Games - Odds | S Mississippi 51% odds to cover | |
| USM +12.5 | Similar Games - Pts | S Mississippi loses by 10.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 58.5 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 58.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| KANS -434 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 13% different from model | |
| USM +372 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | USM | adv | KANS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 31.3 | 27.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.452 | 0.358 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.3 | -3.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 401.1 | 410.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.578% | 51.577% | |
| SOS PR | 23.6 | 28.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | USM | adv | KANS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.0 | 30.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.362 | 0.420 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 410.9 | 394.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.0 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.7 | -0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 67.4 | 46.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | USM | adv | KANS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 1-7 | |
| Streak | L2 | L7 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 5-0 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 1-6 | 1-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | USM | adv | KANS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 3-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 1-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||