Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 355 | CAL | -5.5 | 54.5 | -220 |
| 356 | ORE | +5.5 | +197 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| California | Power Ratings | California 70% odds to win | |
| California | Similar Games | California 70% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAL -5.5 | Power Ratings | California wins by 7.0 | |
| ORE +5.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Oregon 57% odds to cover | |
| CAL -5.5 | Similar Games - Pts | California wins by 6.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 55.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 55.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAL -205 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| CAL -205 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CAL | adv | ORE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.6 | 36.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.385 | 0.522 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -0.4 | +12.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 382.4 | 412.0 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 6.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.829% | 45.627% | |
| SOS PR | 29.4 | 33.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CAL | adv | ORE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 27.0 | 23.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.381 | 0.311 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 389.8 | 336.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.5 | 4.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 50.2 | 61.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CAL | adv | ORE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 10-2 | |
| vs Conference | 5-4 | 8-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 7-0 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CAL | adv | ORE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-6-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||