Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 | CAL | -3.5 | 44.0 | -170 |
| 152 | UCLA | +3.5 | +153 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | Power Ratings | UCLA 62% odds to win | |
| UCLA | Similar Games | UCLA 54% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA +3.5 | Power Ratings | UCLA wins by 3.6 | |
| UCLA +3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | UCLA 55% odds to cover | |
| UCLA +3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | UCLA wins by 0.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.5 | Similar Games | 59% odds to go over 44.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA +149 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 22% different from model | |
| UCLA +149 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 13% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CAL | adv | UCLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.6 | 22.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.385 | 0.323 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -0.4 | +0.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 382.4 | 337.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.829% | 49.622% | |
| SOS PR | 29.4 | 24.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CAL | adv | UCLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 27.0 | 21.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.381 | 0.321 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 389.8 | 334.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 2.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 50.2 | 54.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CAL | adv | UCLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 5-4 | 3-6 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 4-2 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CAL | adv | UCLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-6-0 | 3-6-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||