Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 6:00 PM |
| Location | Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, KY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 351 | FLA | -20.0 | 54.0 | -950 |
| 352 | KENT | +20.0 | +736 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | Power Ratings | Florida 78% odds to win | |
| Florida | Similar Games | Florida 90% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENT +20.5 | Power Ratings | Kentucky loses by 10.5 | |
| FLA -20.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Florida 55% odds to cover | |
| KENT +20.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Kentucky loses by 19.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 52.0 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go under 52.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENT +760 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | FLA | adv | KENT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 33.8 | 25.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.496 | 0.372 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +20.7 | +1.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 445.1 | 322.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.5 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.021% | 50.181% | |
| SOS PR | 37.5 | 32.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | FLA | adv | KENT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 13.2 | 23.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.212 | 0.355 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 247.8 | 368.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.0 | 5.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.5 | 0.0 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.2 | 40.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | FLA | adv | KENT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-1 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 8-1 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 6-0 | 2-4 | |
| Away | 6-1 | 4-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | FLA | adv | KENT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-6-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||