Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Saturday, October 10, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 383 | FLA | -9.5 | 45.5 | -350 |
| 384 | LSU | +9.5 | +305 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | Power Ratings | Florida 76% odds to win | |
| Florida | Similar Games | Florida 72% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU +10.0 | Power Ratings | LSU loses by 9.8 | |
| LSU +10.0 | Similar Games - Odds | LSU 54% odds to cover | |
| LSU +10.0 | Similar Games - Pts | LSU loses by 9.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 45.5 | Similar Games | 65% odds to go under 45.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU +318 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 0% different from model | |
| LSU +318 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | FLA | adv | LSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 33.8 | 24.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.496 | 0.401 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +20.7 | +8.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 445.1 | 304.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.5 | 4.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.021% | 46.392% | |
| SOS PR | 37.5 | 37.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | FLA | adv | LSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 13.2 | 16.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.212 | 0.228 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 247.8 | 327.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.0 | 4.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.5 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.2 | 48.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | FLA | adv | LSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-1 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 8-1 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 6-0 | 6-1 | |
| Away | 6-1 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | FLA | adv | LSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 5-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-6-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||