Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 387 | FLA | -23.0 | 50.0 | -1450 |
| 388 | MSST | +23.0 | +1025 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | Power Ratings | Florida 85% odds to win | |
| Florida | Similar Games | Florida 89% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSST +21.5 | Power Ratings | Miss State loses by 15.4 | |
| MSST +21.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Miss State 55% odds to cover | |
| MSST +21.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Miss State loses by 16.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 50.0 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go under 50.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSST +925 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model | |
| MSST +925 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | FLA | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 33.8 | 23.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.496 | 0.340 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +20.7 | -4.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 445.1 | 368.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.5 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.021% | 53.031% | |
| SOS PR | 37.5 | 36.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | FLA | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 13.2 | 28.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.212 | 0.427 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 247.8 | 381.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.0 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.5 | -0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.2 | 39.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | FLA | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-1 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 8-1 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 6-0 | 1-5 | |
| Away | 6-1 | 3-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | FLA | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-6-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||