Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179 | ILL | -3.5 | 54.0 | -162 |
| 180 | IND | +3.5 | +146 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | Power Ratings | Indiana 81% odds to win | |
| Illinois | Similar Games | Illinois 51% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +3.0 | Power Ratings | Indiana wins by 12.9 | |
| ILL -3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Illinois 59% odds to cover | |
| IND +3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Indiana loses by 1.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 54.5 | Similar Games | 50% odds to go under 54.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +128 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 38% different from model | |
| IND +128 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ILL | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.3 | 23.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.309 | 0.348 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.1 | -7.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 379.5 | 361.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.980% | 48.642% | |
| SOS PR | 26.7 | 28.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ILL | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.4 | 31.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.456 | 0.427 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 403.7 | 403.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 2.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | +0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.3 | 50.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-9 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 1-7 | |
| Streak | L3 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 2-3 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 1-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-0 | 7-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||