Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Metrodome, Minneapolis, MN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 | ILL | +6.5 | 53.5 | +218 |
| 320 | MINN | -6.5 | -245 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | Power Ratings | Minnesota 77% odds to win | |
| Minnesota | Similar Games | Minnesota 73% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN -7.0 | Power Ratings | Minnesota wins by 10.2 | |
| MINN -7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Minnesota 55% odds to cover | |
| MINN -7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Minnesota wins by 9.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 54.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 54.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN -260 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model | |
| MINN -260 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ILL | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.3 | 21.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.309 | 0.328 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.1 | -3.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 379.5 | 312.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.980% | 47.240% | |
| SOS PR | 26.7 | 28.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ILL | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.4 | 24.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.456 | 0.341 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 403.7 | 380.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 2.0 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.3 | 52.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-9 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L3 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||