Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 | ILL | +13.5 | 49.0 | +423 |
| 308 | OHST | -13.5 | -500 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State | Power Ratings | Ohio State 99% odds to win | |
| Ohio State | Similar Games | Ohio State 92% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHST -14.0 | Power Ratings | Ohio State wins by 36.0 | |
| ILL +14.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Illinois 55% odds to cover | |
| OHST -14.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Ohio State wins by 16.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.5 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go under 49.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHST -517 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 16% different from model | |
| OHST -517 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ILL | adv | OHST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.3 | 29.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.309 | 0.418 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.1 | +16.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 379.5 | 369.0 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.980% | 52.613% | |
| SOS PR | 26.7 | 31.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ILL | adv | OHST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.4 | 12.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.456 | 0.190 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 403.7 | 262.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 4.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 2.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | +1.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.3 | 43.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | OHST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-9 | 10-2 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 7-1 | |
| Streak | L3 | W6 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 6-1 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 5-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | OHST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-0 | 10-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||