Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Friday, November 27, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, OH |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | ILL | +17.5 | 59.5 | +760 |
| 128 | CIN | -17.5 | -1000 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | Power Ratings | Cincinnati 92% odds to win | |
| Cincinnati | Similar Games | Cincinnati 93% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN -20.5 | Power Ratings | Cincinnati wins by 21.2 | |
| CIN -20.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Cincinnati 69% odds to cover | |
| CIN -20.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Cincinnati wins by 26.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 57.5 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 57.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| CIN -1125 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ILL | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.3 | 36.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.309 | 0.561 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.1 | +11.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 379.5 | 436.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 6.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.980% | 42.311% | |
| SOS PR | 26.7 | 34.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ILL | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.4 | 24.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.456 | 0.326 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 403.7 | 390.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.3 | 45.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-9 | 12-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 7-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 5-0 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 6-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||