Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 4:00 PM |
| Location | Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363 | AFA | +8.5 | 42.5 | +277 |
| 364 | UTAH | -8.5 | -315 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah | Power Ratings | Utah 77% odds to win | |
| Utah | Similar Games | Utah 67% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH -8.5 | Power Ratings | Utah wins by 10.4 | |
| UTAH -8.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Utah 54% odds to cover | |
| UTAH -8.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Utah wins by 9.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 43.0 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go under 43.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH -330 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| AFA +289 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | AFA | adv | UTAH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.2 | 29.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.348 | 0.426 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +9.2 | +9.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 354.8 | 389.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.806% | 51.090% | |
| SOS PR | 28.9 | 29.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | AFA | adv | UTAH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 17.0 | 20.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.269 | 0.290 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 299.8 | 313.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.8 | 4.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.5 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.5 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.6 | 69.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | AFA | adv | UTAH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 6-0 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | AFA | adv | UTAH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||