Game Information
| Week | Week 9 |
| Date | Saturday, October 31, 2009 |
| Time | 4:00 PM |
| Location | Hughes Stadium, Fort Collins, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169 | AFA | -7.0 | 44.5 | -290 |
| 170 | COST | +7.0 | +256 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Power Ratings | Air Force 70% odds to win | |
| Air Force | Similar Games | Air Force 72% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| COST +7.0 | Power Ratings | Colorado St loses by 6.8 | |
| AFA -7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Air Force 57% odds to cover | |
| AFA -7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Air Force wins by 8.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.0 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go over 44.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| COST +239 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | AFA | adv | COST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.2 | 21.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.348 | 0.331 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +9.2 | -9.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 354.8 | 354.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.806% | 50.981% | |
| SOS PR | 28.9 | 22.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | AFA | adv | COST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 17.0 | 30.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.269 | 0.444 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 299.8 | 394.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.5 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.5 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.6 | 48.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | AFA | adv | COST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 0-8 | |
| Streak | W1 | L9 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 1-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | AFA | adv | COST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 4-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L6 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||