Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Saturday, September 19, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179 | AFA | -16.5 | 45.5 | -665 |
| 180 | NMEX | +16.5 | +545 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Power Ratings | Air Force -- odds to win | |
| Air Force | Similar Games | Air Force -- odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NMEX +17.0 | Power Ratings | New Mexico wins by -- | |
| NMEX +17.0 | Similar Games - Odds | New Mexico -- odds to cover | |
| NMEX +17.0 | Similar Games - Pts | New Mexico wins by -- |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 45.5 | Similar Games | -- odds to go under 45.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NMEX +587 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is -- different from model | |
| NMEX +587 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is -- different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | AFA | adv | NMEX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.2 | 16.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.348 | 0.225 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +9.2 | -19.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 354.8 | 315.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.7 | 4.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.806% | 47.253% | |
| SOS PR | 28.9 | 23.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | AFA | adv | NMEX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 17.0 | 35.9 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.269 | 0.481 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 299.8 | 418.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.5 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.5 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.6 | 60.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | AFA | adv | NMEX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 1-11 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 1-7 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 1-5 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 0-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | AFA | adv | NMEX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||