Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Lavell Edwards Stadium, Provo, UT |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 361 | AFA | +8.0 | 47.5 | +277 |
| 362 | BYU | -8.0 | -315 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | Power Ratings | BYU 51% odds to win | |
| BYU | Similar Games | BYU 78% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFA +9.5 | Power Ratings | Air Force loses by 0.2 | |
| BYU -9.5 | Similar Games - Odds | BYU 54% odds to cover | |
| AFA +9.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Air Force loses by 7.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 46.5 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go under 46.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFA +314 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 25% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | AFA | adv | BYU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.2 | 35.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.348 | 0.507 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +9.2 | +13.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 354.8 | 427.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.7 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.806% | 51.477% | |
| SOS PR | 28.9 | 29.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | AFA | adv | BYU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 17.0 | 21.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.269 | 0.312 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 299.8 | 328.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.8 | 4.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.5 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.5 | 0.0 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.6 | 66.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | AFA | adv | BYU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 10-2 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 7-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 4-2 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 7-0 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | AFA | adv | BYU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||