Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Tuesday, November 3, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | UB Stadium, Buffalo, NY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 | BGRN | +3.0 | 57.5 | +129 |
| 302 | BUFF | -3.0 | -143 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Grn | Power Ratings | Bowling Grn 59% odds to win | |
| Buffalo | Similar Games | Buffalo 50% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGRN +3.0 | Power Ratings | Bowling Grn wins by 2.5 | |
| BGRN +3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Bowling Grn 57% odds to cover | |
| BGRN +3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Bowling Grn loses by 2.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 57.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 57.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGRN +139 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 17% different from model | |
| BGRN +139 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BGRN | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 28.5 | 22.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.376 | 0.320 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.0 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 404.8 | 396.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.385% | 48.765% | |
| SOS PR | 15.7 | 15.3 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BGRN | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 27.5 | 25.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.406 | 0.375 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 400.2 | 354.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | -0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 49.3 | 53.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BGRN | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BGRN | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-1 | 4-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 3-4-1 | |
| Streak | P1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-0-1 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-1 | 3-2-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||