Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Thursday, November 5, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | Huskie Stadium, DeKalb, IL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 | EMCH | +21.5 | 48.0 | +975 |
| 304 | NILL | -21.5 | -1400 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| N Illinois | Power Ratings | N Illinois 89% odds to win | |
| N Illinois | Similar Games | N Illinois 92% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMCH +21.0 | Power Ratings | E Michigan loses by 19.0 | |
| EMCH +21.0 | Similar Games - Odds | E Michigan 52% odds to cover | |
| EMCH +21.0 | Similar Games - Pts | E Michigan loses by 20.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 49.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMCH +865 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | EMCH | adv | NILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 16.4 | 27.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.254 | 0.436 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -21.8 | +4.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 278.3 | 341.0 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.3 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.301% | 52.468% | |
| SOS PR | 13.1 | 17.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | EMCH | adv | NILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 38.2 | 22.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.600 | 0.357 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 426.8 | 338.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.7 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 50.8 | 47.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | EMCH | adv | NILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 0-12 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 0-8 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L12 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 0-10 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 0-5 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 0-7 | 2-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | EMCH | adv | NILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||