Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 379 | ORE | -5.0 | 60.0 | -214 |
| 380 | ARIZ | +5.0 | +192 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | Power Ratings | Oregon 69% odds to win | |
| Oregon | Similar Games | Oregon 55% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE -5.0 | Power Ratings | Oregon wins by 6.3 | |
| ARIZ +5.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Arizona 56% odds to cover | |
| ARIZ +5.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Arizona loses by 3.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 59.0 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go over 59.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE -205 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| ARIZ +184 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ORE | adv | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 36.1 | 26.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.522 | 0.387 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +12.3 | +2.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 412.0 | 369.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 45.627% | 51.875% | |
| SOS PR | 33.1 | 30.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ORE | adv | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.8 | 24.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.311 | 0.385 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 336.3 | 330.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.4 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 61.9 | 43.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ORE | adv | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-2 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 8-1 | 6-3 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 7-0 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ORE | adv | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||