Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Saturday, November 28, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | WAKE | -3.5 | 53.5 | -157 |
| 142 | DUKE | +3.5 | +142 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | Power Ratings | Duke 53% odds to win | |
| Wake Forest | Similar Games | Wake Forest 54% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE +4.0 | Power Ratings | Duke wins by 0.9 | |
| WAKE -4.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Wake Forest 54% odds to cover | |
| DUKE +4.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Duke loses by 3.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 52.0 | Similar Games | 63% odds to go under 52.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE +166 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 16% different from model | |
| DUKE +166 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | WAKE | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 25.5 | 23.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.349 | 0.331 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.5 | -6.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 401.4 | 356.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.151% | 48.861% | |
| SOS PR | 30.1 | 29.3 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | WAKE | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.0 | 30.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.409 | 0.429 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 394.0 | 396.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.3 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 55.3 | 45.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | WAKE | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 1-3 | |
| Away | 1-4 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | WAKE | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 4-3-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 1-2-1 | |
| Away | 2-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||