Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 2:00 PM |
| Location | Faurot Field, Columbia, MO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 337 | IAST | +15.0 | 51.5 | +512 |
| 338 | MIZZ | -15.0 | -620 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri | Power Ratings | Missouri 72% odds to win | |
| Missouri | Similar Games | Missouri 84% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IAST +15.0 | Power Ratings | Iowa State loses by 7.8 | |
| MIZZ -15.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Missouri 52% odds to cover | |
| IAST +15.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Iowa State loses by 13.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 51.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IAST +512 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 12% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IAST | adv | MIZZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.4 | 27.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.277 | 0.379 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.8 | +0.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 358.2 | 403.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.361% | 46.660% | |
| SOS PR | 24.9 | 25.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IAST | adv | MIZZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.2 | 26.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.305 | 0.356 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 418.2 | 367.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 4.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.5 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.0 | 53.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IAST | adv | MIZZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 5-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IAST | adv | MIZZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||