Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Saturday, October 10, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 329 | ALA | -3.5 | 45.5 | -172 |
| 330 | MISS | +3.5 | +155 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | Power Ratings | Alabama 84% odds to win | |
| Alabama | Similar Games | Alabama 66% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA -4.0 | Power Ratings | Alabama wins by 14.4 | |
| ALA -4.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Alabama 53% odds to cover | |
| ALA -4.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Alabama wins by 8.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Under 45.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 45.0 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA -180 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 19% different from model | |
| ALA -180 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ALA | adv | MISS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 30.6 | 26.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.443 | 0.386 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +18.7 | +7.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 413.1 | 391.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.2% | 48.5% | |
| SOS PR | 40.4 | 33.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ALA | adv | MISS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 11.9 | 19.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.190 | 0.277 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 255.0 | 312.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.1 | 4.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 1.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.1 | -0.9 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 41.6 | 45.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ALA | adv | MISS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-0 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 9-0 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | W13 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 10-0 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 6-0 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 7-0 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ALA | adv | MISS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 6-1-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||