Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Saturday, October 3, 2009 |
| Time | 9:05 PM |
| Location | Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 193 | HOU | -14.5 | 68.5 | -550 |
| 194 | UTEP | +14.5 | +461 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Ratings | Houston 100% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games | Houston 88% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -14.5 | Power Ratings | Houston wins by 37.2 | |
| HOU -14.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Houston 56% odds to cover | |
| HOU -14.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Houston wins by 18.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 68.5 | Similar Games | 63% odds to go over 68.5 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -550 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 15% different from model | |
| HOU -550 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | UTEP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 41.2 | 29.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.489 | 0.424 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +9.4 | -3.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 565.2 | 425.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.7 | 6.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 45.5% | 48.6% | |
| SOS PR | 25.8 | 18.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | UTEP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.8 | 33.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.416 | 0.449 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 465.8 | 446.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.1 | 6.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.5 | 68.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | UTEP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-3 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 5-0 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 1-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | UTEP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-5-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-4-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-0-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||