Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Saturday, October 10, 2009 |
| Time | 12:30 PM |
| Location | Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 337 | HOU | +2.5 | 67.5 | +130 |
| 338 | MSST | -2.5 | -144 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miss State | Power Ratings | Miss State 70% odds to win | |
| Miss State | Similar Games | Miss State 58% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSST -2.5 | Power Ratings | Miss State wins by 6.9 | |
| HOU +2.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Houston 57% odds to cover | |
| HOU +2.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Houston loses by 2.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 66.0 | Similar Games | 66% odds to go over 66.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSST -140 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 12% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 41.2 | 23.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.489 | 0.340 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +9.4 | -4.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 565.2 | 368.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.7 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 45.5% | 53.0% | |
| SOS PR | 25.8 | 36.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.8 | 28.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.416 | 0.427 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 465.8 | 381.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.1 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.5 | 39.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-3 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 5-0 | 1-5 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 3-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-5-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-0-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||