Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Wednesday, November 18, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Ball State Stadium, Muncie, IN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 | CMCH | -14.5 | 51.0 | -600 |
| 302 | BALL | +14.5 | +500 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Mich | Power Ratings | Central Mich 88% odds to win | |
| Central Mich | Similar Games | Central Mich 83% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMCH -15.0 | Power Ratings | Central Mich wins by 17.4 | |
| BALL +15.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Ball State 61% odds to cover | |
| BALL +15.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Ball State loses by 11.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 50.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 50.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMCH -640 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| BALL +527 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CMCH | adv | BALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 32.8 | 19.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.452 | 0.300 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +12.5 | -9.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 431.9 | 309.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.474% | 48.008% | |
| SOS PR | 20.1 | 14.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CMCH | adv | BALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.4 | 28.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.292 | 0.411 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 360.2 | 392.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.8 | 43.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CMCH | adv | BALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-2 | 2-10 | |
| vs Conference | 9-0 | 2-6 | |
| Streak | W5 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 4-0 | 0-5 | |
| Away | 7-2 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CMCH | adv | BALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3-1 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-1-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 4-0-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-1 | 5-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||